Riding profile

Paris — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Paris

The question

Paris — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Paris — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Paris, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 58% vote share, against 20% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Sophia CHIKIROU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
38.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 58.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 20.1%
  • RN and allies 11.4%
  • LR and allies 5.2%
  • Others 2.8%
  • Greens 1.5%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
HereParis — 6ème circonscription 58.2%20.1%11.4%5.2%
Provincial averageParis 44.5% +13.7 27.8% −7.6 15.0% −3.6 9.3% −4.2
National averageFrance 29.5% +28.7 20.6% −0.4 36.0% −24.6 12.2% −7.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+38.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sophia CHIKIROU Elected Left (NFP) 34,329 58.2 —
Gwënaelle COULON Centre (Ensemble) 13,230 22.4 —
Élise Maryse LAPLACE RN and allies 4,301 7.3 —
Jean-Christophe MARTIN LR and allies 2,317 3.9 —
Louis GUNDERMANN Centre (Ensemble) 1,577 2.7 —
Hippolyte VERDIER Greens 1,208 2.0 —
Amélie JULLIEN RN and allies 626 1.1 —
Veronique BRUNET Far left 509 0.9 —
Alain Jean AMOUNI Others 450 0.8 —
Thierry SESSIN CARACCI Left (NFP) 377 0.6 —
Dima LECREST Left (NFP) 73 0.1 —
Laurence NICOLAS Far left 0 0.0 —
Martial MUTTE Left (NFP) 0 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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