Riding profile

Paris — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Paris

The question

Paris — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Paris — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Paris, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 50% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Emmanuel GREGOIRE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 21.2
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 50.1%
Centre (Ensemble) 28.9%
RN and allies 12.0%
LR and allies 6.2%
Others 2.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
HereParis — 7ème circonscription	50.1%	28.9%	12.0%	6.2%
Provincial averageParis	44.5% +5.6	27.8% +1.1	15.0% −3.0	9.3% −3.1
National averageFrance	29.5% +20.6	20.6% +8.3	36.0% −23.9	12.2% −6.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+21.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Emmanuel GREGOIRE Elected	Left (NFP)	30,974	50.9	—
Clément BEAUNE	Centre (Ensemble)	19,958	32.8	—
Céline TACHER	RN and allies	4,815	7.9	—
Aurélien VÉRON	LR and allies	3,010	4.9	—
Jason REYES	RN and allies	655	1.1	—
Philippe MAZUEL	Centre (Ensemble)	596	1.0	—
Sophie LACAZE	Greens	532	0.9	—
Aurélia PETIT	Far left	289	0.5	—
Anne GRAU	Centre (Ensemble)	65	0.1	—
Stéphanie BLANC	Far left	0	0.0	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next