Riding profile
Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription
The question
Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-Maritime, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Patrice MARTIN
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSeine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription | 46.8% | 32.0% | 18.2% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 39.3% +7.5 | 31.7% +0.3 | 6.6% +11.6 | 2.0% −0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +10.8 | 29.5% +2.5 | 12.2% +6.0 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrice MARTIN Elected | RN and allies | 32,235 | 44.9 | — |
| Sébastien JUMEL | Left (NFP) | 24,763 | 34.5 | — |
| Stéphane ACCARD | LR and allies | 12,916 | 18.0 | — |
| Olivier CLELAND | RN and allies | 1,009 | 1.4 | — |
| Éric MOISAN | Far left | 861 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-Maritime — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-Maritime — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Somme — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Eure — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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