Riding profile
Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription
The question
Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-et-Marne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 50% vote share, against 43% for the LR right, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Olivier FAURE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Competitive
- Probability
- 91%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.3
- P(close race)
- 17%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSeine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription | 49.9% | 42.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageSeine-et-Marne | 31.1% +18.9 | 14.6% +28.0 | 35.7% −32.9 | 2.5% −0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +20.4 | 12.2% +30.4 | 36.0% −33.1 | 3.9% −1.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier FAURE Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,643 | 53.4 | — |
| Vincent PAUL-PETIT | LR and allies | 11,902 | 29.4 | — |
| Thomas IANZ | LR and allies | 5,797 | 14.3 | — |
| Anne DE LA TORRE | Far left | 868 | 2.1 | — |
| Flore CREANTOR | Others | 171 | 0.4 | — |
| Dominique MAHÉ | Sovereignists | 132 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Seine-et-Marne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Essonne — 9ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 8ème circonscriptionSovereignists Toss-upOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next