Riding profile
Essonne — 9ème circonscription
The question
Essonne — 9ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Essonne — 9ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Essonne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Julie OZENNE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 96%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.7
- P(close race)
- 9%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEssonne — 9ème circonscription | 36.7% | 33.0% | 22.0% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 37.4% −0.7 | 28.2% +4.7 | 22.7% −0.7 | 5.8% −0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +7.2 | 36.0% −3.0 | 20.6% +1.5 | 3.9% +1.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie OZENNE Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,288 | 37.6 | — |
| Paul-Henri MERRIEN | RN and allies | 15,449 | 30.1 | — |
| Marie GUÉVENOUX | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,908 | 27.1 | — |
| Bruno CHAMBERLIN | Others | 1,652 | 3.2 | — |
| Benoit GRISAUD | Far left | 831 | 1.6 | — |
| Sinan BORAN | Others | 168 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Essonne — 8ème circonscriptionSovereignists Toss-upOpen →
- Essonne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 10ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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