Riding profile
Essonne — 1ère circonscription
The question
Essonne — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Essonne — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Essonne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 43% vote share, against 29% for another bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Farida AMRANI
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | Others | RN and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEssonne — 1ère circonscription | 43.2% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 37.4% +5.8 | 5.8% +22.8 | 28.2% −2.8 | 0.9% +0.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +13.7 | 3.9% +24.6 | 36.0% −10.5 | 1.1% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farida AMRANI Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,109 | 46.1 | — |
| Stéphane BEAUDET | Others | 11,506 | 27.7 | — |
| Thiebauld VEGA | RN and allies | 9,264 | 22.3 | — |
| Jean CAMONIN | Far left | 565 | 1.4 | — |
| Hélène BERENGER | RN and allies | 539 | 1.3 | — |
| Baptiste GALAND | Greens | 405 | 1.0 | — |
| Gladys EYANG | Others | 87 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Essonne — 9ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 10ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 8ème circonscriptionSovereignists Toss-upOpen →
- Essonne — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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