Riding profile

Yvelines — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Yvelines

The question

Yvelines — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Yvelines — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Yvelines, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Charles RODWELL

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
71%
Mean margin (pts)
1.0
P(close race)
54%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 28.4%
  • Left (NFP) 27.4%
  • RN and allies 23.7%
  • LR and allies 17.4%
  • Others 2.2%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
HereYvelines — 1ère circonscription 28.4%27.4%23.7%17.4%
Provincial averageYvelines 28.3% +0.1 29.5% −2.1 26.9% −3.1 13.4% +4.0
National averageFrance 20.6% +7.9 29.5% −2.1 36.0% −12.2 12.2% +5.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Charles RODWELL Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,235 33.5 —
Sébastien RAMAGE Left (NFP) 17,073 28.3 —
Anne JACQMIN RN and allies 11,686 19.4 —
Arnaud POULAIN LR and allies 9,783 16.2 —
Sabine CLEMENT RN and allies 868 1.4 —
Jean-Loup LEROUX Far left 523 0.9 —
Guillaume CARLIER Others 147 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next