Riding profile
Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription
The question
Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?
Editorial read
Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Prisca THEVENOT
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
Centre (Ensemble)
Competitive
- Probability
- 91%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.5
- P(close race)
- 19%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription | 35.0% | 31.5% | 20.0% | 11.0% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 32.1% +2.8 | 35.9% −4.5 | 19.2% +0.8 | 16.9% −5.9 |
| National averageFrance | 20.6% +14.4 | 29.5% +2.0 | 36.0% −16.0 | 12.2% −1.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prisca THEVENOT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,274 | 39.9 | — |
| Salomé NICOLAS-CHAVANCE | Left (NFP) | 15,392 | 30.3 | — |
| Delphine VEISSIERE | RN and allies | 7,979 | 15.7 | — |
| Cécile RICHEZ | LR and allies | 4,959 | 9.8 | — |
| Miron CUSA | Left (NFP) | 968 | 1.9 | — |
| Adélaïde MOTTE | RN and allies | 626 | 1.2 | — |
| Adam BRAHIMI-SEMPER | Greens | 350 | 0.7 | — |
| Philippe HÉNIQUE | Far left | 196 | 0.4 | — |
| Jean-Baptiste LAYLY | Others | 49 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Paris — 14ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscriptionLR and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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