Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Prisca THEVENOT

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Competitive

Probability
91%
Mean margin (pts)
3.5
P(close race)
19%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 35.0%
  • Left (NFP) 31.5%
  • RN and allies 20.0%
  • LR and allies 11.0%
  • Others 2.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
HereHauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription 35.0%31.5%20.0%11.0%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 32.1% +2.8 35.9% −4.5 19.2% +0.8 16.9% −5.9
National averageFrance 20.6% +14.4 29.5% +2.0 36.0% −16.0 12.2% −1.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Prisca THEVENOT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,274 39.9
Salomé NICOLAS-CHAVANCE Left (NFP) 15,392 30.3
Delphine VEISSIERE RN and allies 7,979 15.7
Cécile RICHEZ LR and allies 4,959 9.8
Miron CUSA Left (NFP) 968 1.9
Adélaïde MOTTE RN and allies 626 1.2
Adam BRAHIMI-SEMPER Greens 350 0.7
Philippe HÉNIQUE Far left 196 0.4
Jean-Baptiste LAYLY Others 49 0.1
Last model run
Cycle
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