Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 48% vote share, against 24% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Pierre CAZENEUVE

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 24.7
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Centre (Ensemble) 48.3%
RN and allies 23.6%
Left (NFP) 22.3%
Others 2.0%
Greens 2.0%
LR and allies 1.2%
Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Others
HereHauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription	48.3%	23.6%	22.3%	2.0%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine	32.1% +16.1	19.2% +4.4	35.9% −13.6	2.1% −0.1
National averageFrance	20.6% +27.7	36.0% −12.4	29.5% −7.2	3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Centre (Ensemble)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+24.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Pierre CAZENEUVE Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	34,053	53.2	—
Lucas PEYRET	Left (NFP)	14,749	23.0	—
Christine PASTOR	RN and allies	12,057	18.8	—
Charlotte RICHARD	Greens	1,633	2.5	—
Rémi CARILLON	RN and allies	1,083	1.7	—
Cécile ABAD	Far left	431	0.7	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next