Riding profile

Yvelines — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Yvelines

The question

Yvelines — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Yvelines — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Yvelines, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 30% vote share, against 28% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Béatrice PIRON

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Safe

Probability
93%
Mean margin (pts)
2.0
P(close race)
13%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.5%
  • RN and allies 27.5%
  • Left (NFP) 20.1%
  • LR and allies 18.2%
  • Greens 2.2%
  • Others 2.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereYvelines — 3ème circonscription 29.5%27.5%20.1%18.2%
Provincial averageYvelines 28.3% +1.2 26.9% +0.6 29.5% −9.4 13.4% +4.8
National averageFrance 20.6% +9.0 36.0% −8.5 29.5% −9.4 12.2% +6.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Béatrice PIRON Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,768 34.5 —
Valentin SALVINO RN and allies 13,725 22.8 —
Thomas CIANO Left (NFP) 12,557 20.9 —
Othman NASROU LR and allies 10,211 17.0 —
Jérémy BIZET Greens 1,679 2.8 —
Olivier LE COQ RN and allies 998 1.7 —
Olivier AUGUSTIN Far left 283 0.5 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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