Riding profile

Yvelines — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Yvelines

The question

Yvelines — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Yvelines — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Yvelines, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 33% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Natalia POUZYREFF

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Safe

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
7.1
P(close race)
7%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.4%
  • Left (NFP) 26.3%
  • RN and allies 24.9%
  • LR and allies 9.0%
  • Greens 2.6%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Sovereignists 1.1%
  • Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
HereYvelines — 6ème circonscription 33.4%26.3%24.9%9.0%
Provincial averageYvelines 28.3% +5.1 29.5% −3.2 26.9% −1.9 13.4% −4.4
National averageFrance 20.6% +12.8 29.5% −3.2 36.0% −11.0 12.2% −3.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+7.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Natalia POUZYREFF Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,212 38.3 —
Mélinda SAUGER Left (NFP) 14,247 27.0 —
Sophie LELANDAIS RN and allies 10,781 20.4 —
Stéphane TORREZ LR and allies 4,028 7.6 —
Jean-Luc SUZÉ Greens 1,668 3.2 —
Anne-Elisabeth SILD RN and allies 760 1.4 —
Claire COUEIGNAS Sovereignists 533 1.0 —
Cécile PERRAUDIN Far left 222 0.4 —
Ken ARMÈDE Far left 120 0.2 —
Patrice HERNOT LR and allies 84 0.2 —
Marc PHILIPOT Others 71 0.1 —
Leo MÜLLBACHER Others 0 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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