Riding profile

Yvelines — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Yvelines

The question

Yvelines — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Yvelines — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Yvelines, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 34% vote share, against 30% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Aurélien ROUSSEAU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
89%
Mean margin (pts)
4.1
P(close race)
20%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 33.8%
  • RN and allies 29.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 24.2%
  • LR and allies 8.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereYvelines — 7ème circonscription 33.8%29.6%24.2%8.8%
Provincial averageYvelines 29.5% +4.2 26.9% +2.7 28.3% −4.1 13.4% −4.6
National averageFrance 29.5% +4.3 36.0% −6.4 20.6% +3.7 12.2% −3.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Aurélien ROUSSEAU Elected Left (NFP) 18,810 34.7 —
Nadia HAI Centre (Ensemble) 15,903 29.3 —
Babette DE ROZIERES RN and allies 13,987 25.8 —
Julien FRÉJABUE LR and allies 4,142 7.6 —
Colette AUBREE RN and allies 516 0.9 —
Ali KAYA Far left 498 0.9 —
Jack LEFEBVRE Far left 375 0.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next