Riding profile

Yvelines — 9ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Yvelines

The question

Yvelines — 9ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Yvelines — 9ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Yvelines, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 39% vote share, against 29% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Dieynaba DIOP

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability: 99%
Mean margin (pts): 9.9
P(close race): 1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 38.8%
Left (NFP) 28.9%
Centre (Ensemble) 16.4%
LR and allies 10.2%
Others 2.5%
Greens 2.3%
Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
HereYvelines — 9ème circonscription	38.8%	28.9%	16.4%	10.2%
Provincial averageYvelines	26.9% +11.9	29.5% −0.6	28.3% −11.9	13.4% −3.2
National averageFrance	36.0% +2.8	29.5% −0.6	20.6% −4.2	12.2% −2.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+9.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Laurent MORIN	RN and allies	21,551	34.5	—
Dieynaba DIOP Elected	Left (NFP)	18,520	29.6	—
Bruno MILLIENNE	Centre (Ensemble)	13,340	21.4	—
Hervé RIOU	LR and allies	5,563	8.9	—
Rachid ZEROUALI	Greens	1,780	2.9	—
Christophe LE HOT	RN and allies	802	1.3	—
Philippe GOMMARD	Far left	601	1.0	—
Sendil-Sébastien DJEARAMANE	Others	336	0.5	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next