Riding profile

Somme — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Somme

The question

Somme — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Somme — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Somme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Zahia HAMDANE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
56%
Mean margin (pts)
1.9
P(close race)
73%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 31.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.3%
  • Left (NFP) 28.6%
  • LR and allies 7.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereSomme — 2ème circonscription 31.1%29.3%28.6%7.9%
Provincial averageSomme 47.9% −16.7 15.5% +13.8 20.9% +7.8 12.4% −4.5
National averageFrance 36.0% −4.9 20.6% +8.7 29.5% −0.8 12.2% −4.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Zahia HAMDANE Elected Left (NFP) 15,217 29.5 —
Damien TOUMI RN and allies 14,142 27.5 —
Hubert DE JENLIS Centre (Ensemble) 12,997 25.2 —
Anne PINON LR and allies 3,450 6.7 —
Renaud DESCHAMPS Centre (Ensemble) 2,029 3.9 —
Ingrid DORDAIN Centre (Ensemble) 1,589 3.1 —
Paul-Eric DECLE Centre (Ensemble) 1,096 2.1 —
Rémy CHASSOULIER Far left 531 1.0 —
Suzanne PLAQUET RN and allies 410 0.8 —
Grégoire LECOCQ Sovereignists 44 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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