Riding profile
Somme — 5ème circonscription
The question
Somme — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Somme — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Somme, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 60% vote share, against 14% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Yaël MENACHE
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 45.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSomme — 5ème circonscription | 60.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageSomme | 47.9% +12.1 | 15.5% −1.1 | 20.9% −8.5 | 12.4% −3.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +24.0 | 20.6% −6.1 | 29.5% −17.1 | 12.2% −2.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaël MENACHE Elected | RN and allies | 29,281 | 56.0 | — |
| Loïc FOLLEAT | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,196 | 19.5 | — |
| Alice BERGER | Left (NFP) | 6,877 | 13.2 | — |
| Séverine MORDACQ | LR and allies | 4,280 | 8.2 | — |
| Hélène LAUNAY | Far left | 1,000 | 1.9 | — |
| Béatrice GUILBERT | RN and allies | 672 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Oise — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Somme — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Aisne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Somme — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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