Riding profile
Var — 8ème circonscription
The question
Var — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Var — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Var, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 56% vote share, against 19% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Philippe SCHRECK
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 37.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVar — 8ème circonscription | 56.3% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Provincial averageVar | 54.4% +1.8 | 16.7% +2.5 | 17.7% −6.9 | 8.3% +2.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +20.3 | 29.5% −10.2 | 20.6% −9.7 | 12.2% −1.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe SCHRECK Elected | RN and allies | 38,433 | 53.5 | — |
| Sarah BREFFY | Left (NFP) | 14,420 | 20.1 | — |
| Rayann MOUSLIM | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,368 | 15.8 | — |
| Frank PANIZZI | LR and allies | 6,639 | 9.3 | — |
| Ludovic MARTIN | Far left | 915 | 1.3 | — |
| Francis COMBE | Others | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Alpes-de-Haute-Provence — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Var — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Var — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Var — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Var — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Var — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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