Riding profile
Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription
The question
Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Vaucluse, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 49% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Catherine RIMBERT
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVaucluse — 5ème circonscription | 49.0% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageVaucluse | 50.4% −1.3 | 26.2% +0.1 | 13.0% +2.2 | 7.2% +0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +13.1 | 29.5% −3.2 | 20.6% −5.3 | 12.2% −4.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine RIMBERT Elected | RN and allies | 25,415 | 45.0 | — |
| Céline CELCE | Left (NFP) | 15,329 | 27.2 | — |
| Adrien MORENAS | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,454 | 20.3 | — |
| Martin LEFEVRE | LR and allies | 3,512 | 6.2 | — |
| Alexandre DESHAIES | RN and allies | 734 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Vaucluse — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 14ème circonscriptionRN and allies Party favouredOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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