Riding profile
Vosges — 1ère circonscription
The question
Vosges — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Vosges — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Vosges, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 42% vote share, against 39% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Stéphane VIRY
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.7
- P(close race)
- 2%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVosges — 1ère circonscription | 41.8% | 39.1% | 15.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVosges | 31.1% +10.7 | 43.7% −4.6 | 15.2% +0.7 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +29.6 | 36.0% +3.1 | 29.5% −13.6 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane VIRY Elected | LR and allies | 21,200 | 42.9 | — |
| Pierre FRANÇOIS | RN and allies | 18,886 | 38.2 | — |
| Dominique PERRIN | Left (NFP) | 8,655 | 17.5 | — |
| Evelyne ABBOT | Far left | 737 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Vosges — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vosges — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vosges — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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