Riding profile

Vosges — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Vosges

The question

Vosges — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Vosges — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Vosges, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 51% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Gaëtan DUSSAUSAYE

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 50.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 27.7%
  • Left (NFP) 14.6%
  • LR and allies 3.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereVosges — 2ème circonscription 50.9%27.7%14.6%3.8%
Provincial averageVosges 43.7% +7.3 27.7% 15.2% −0.5 31.1% −27.3
National averageFrance 36.0% +15.0 20.6% +7.1 29.5% −14.8 12.2% −8.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+23.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Gaëtan DUSSAUSAYE Elected RN and allies 22,788 48.2 —
David VALENCE Centre (Ensemble) 14,592 30.8 —
Julie XICOLA Left (NFP) 7,312 15.4 —
Emma GATEAU LR and allies 1,202 2.5 —
Emmanuel THIEBAUT Centre (Ensemble) 925 1.9 —
Jeanne-Françoise LANGLADE Far left 486 1.0 —
Lionel CHAMBROT Greens 10 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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