Riding profile
Vosges — 3ème circonscription
The question
Vosges — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Vosges — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Vosges, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 47% vote share, against 35% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christophe NAEGELEN
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVosges — 3ème circonscription | 47.0% | 34.6% | 15.4% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVosges | 31.1% +15.9 | 43.7% −9.1 | 15.2% +0.3 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +34.8 | 36.0% −1.4 | 29.5% −14.0 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe NAEGELEN Elected | LR and allies | 20,652 | 48.3 | — |
| Pauline FRESSE | RN and allies | 14,287 | 33.4 | — |
| Etienne BACHELART | Left (NFP) | 7,283 | 17.0 | — |
| Stéphanie BAILLY | Far left | 511 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Vosges — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vosges — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haut-Rhin — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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