Riding profile
Yonne — 2ème circonscription
The question
Yonne — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Yonne — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Yonne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 49% vote share, against 24% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sophie-Laurence ROY
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 24.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereYonne — 2ème circonscription | 48.9% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageYonne | 49.1% −0.2 | 16.4% +7.9 | 22.6% −3.9 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +12.9 | 20.6% +3.8 | 29.5% −10.7 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie-Laurence ROY Elected | RN and allies | 20,997 | 44.5 | — |
| André VILLIERS | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,837 | 29.3 | — |
| Philippe VEYSSIERE | Left (NFP) | 9,197 | 19.5 | — |
| Iris NAKOV | Greens | 1,019 | 2.2 | — |
| Thomas VERHEGGE | Sovereignists | 895 | 1.9 | — |
| Sylvie DEMUSSY | RN and allies | 620 | 1.3 | — |
| Anita CARRASCO | Far left | 608 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Aube — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Yonne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Yonne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nièvre — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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