Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 64% vote share, against 17% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Elsa FAUCILLON

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
46.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 63.7%
  • RN and allies 17.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 8.6%
  • LR and allies 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereHauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription 63.7%17.3%8.6%7.0%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 35.9% +27.8 19.2% −1.9 32.1% −23.6 16.9% −9.9
National averageFrance 29.5% +34.2 36.0% −18.7 20.6% −12.0 12.2% −5.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+46.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Elsa FAUCILLON Elected Left (NFP) 26,225 64.8 —
Mariam CAMARA RN and allies 5,464 13.5 —
Frédéric SARKIS Centre (Ensemble) 5,369 13.3 —
Diane DE LONGUEVILLE LR and allies 1,752 4.3 —
Nicolas FEGEANT LR and allies 596 1.5 —
Zina BOUNAB Far left 368 0.9 —
Marie-Laure DECAILLET RN and allies 346 0.9 —
Armelle PERTUS Far left 218 0.5 —
Marine MASSONNEAU Centre (Ensemble) 117 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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