Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to Left (NFP)?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 36% vote share, against 27% for the centrist bloc, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Céline CALVEZ

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability: 91%
Mean margin (pts): 8.7
P(close race): 17%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 35.6%
Centre (Ensemble) 26.9%
RN and allies 18.4%
LR and allies 15.5%
Others 3.0%
Far left 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
HereHauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription	35.6%	26.9%	18.4%	15.5%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine	35.9% −0.3	32.1% −5.2	19.2% −0.8	16.9% −1.4
National averageFrance	29.5% +6.1	20.6% +6.4	36.0% −17.6	12.2% +3.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Centre (Ensemble)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+8.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Raphaël PITTI	Left (NFP)	19,939	36.5	—
Céline CALVEZ Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	17,255	31.6	—
Amélie PINÇON	RN and allies	7,869	14.4	—
Sophie DESCHIENS	LR and allies	6,935	12.7	—
Hayat BAKHTI	LR and allies	891	1.6	—
Josette BOTET	RN and allies	571	1.1	—
Benjamin DEWHURST	Others	542	1.0	—
Mireille LAMBERT	Far left	343	0.6	—
Alexandra RIU	Centre (Ensemble)	227	0.4	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next