Riding profile
Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription
The question
Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 51% vote share, against 29% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Philippe JUVIN
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription | 50.5% | 29.1% | 17.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 16.9% +33.7 | 35.9% −6.8 | 19.2% −1.3 | 2.1% −0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +38.3 | 29.5% −0.4 | 36.0% −18.1 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe JUVIN Elected | LR and allies | 31,109 | 52.1 | — |
| Isabelle DAHAN | Left (NFP) | 18,774 | 31.4 | — |
| Carole ROUSSEL | RN and allies | 8,478 | 14.2 | — |
| Marc GERARD | RN and allies | 992 | 1.7 | — |
| Aline FRADIN | Far left | 364 | 0.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Paris — 14ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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