Riding profile

Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Seine-Saint-Denis

The question

Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-Saint-Denis, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 75% vote share, against 13% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Alexis CORBIÈRE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
62.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 75.4%
  • RN and allies 12.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 6.0%
  • LR and allies 2.5%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereSeine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription 75.4%12.7%6.0%2.5%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis 58.8% +16.6 19.9% −7.2 7.0% −1.0 11.9% −9.4
National averageFrance 29.5% +45.9 36.0% −23.3 20.6% −14.5 12.2% −9.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+62.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Alexis CORBIÈRE Elected Left (NFP) 21,802 40.2 —
Sabrina ALI-BENALI Left (NFP) 19,740 36.4 —
Pauline BRETEAU Centre (Ensemble) 5,458 10.1 —
Françoise TROVA RN and allies 5,254 9.7 —
Antoine TOCHE LR and allies 713 1.3 —
Eric VERHAEGHE Centre (Ensemble) 518 0.9 —
Aurélie JOCHAUD Far left 344 0.6 —
Yannick DUTERTE Far left 180 0.3 —
Elsa CAUDRON Far left 165 0.3 —
Sebastien ATLANI Others 78 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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