Riding profile

Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Seine-Saint-Denis

The question

Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-Saint-Denis, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 46% vote share, against 27% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Fatiha KELOUA HACHI

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 18.8
P(close race): 1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 46.0%
RN and allies 27.3%
LR and allies 23.6%
Others 1.9%
Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	LR and allies	Others
HereSeine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription	46.0%	27.3%	23.6%	1.9%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis	58.8% −12.8	19.9% +7.4	11.9% +11.7	2.2% −0.3
National averageFrance	29.5% +16.5	36.0% −8.7	12.2% +11.3	3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+18.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Fatiha KELOUA HACHI Elected	Left (NFP)	19,193	49.3	—
Sébastien JOLIVET	RN and allies	9,291	23.9	—
Didier FORT	LR and allies	5,350	13.7	—
Franck YONBOUE	LR and allies	3,844	9.9	—
Sylvio VALENTE	RN and allies	634	1.6	—
Grégory TOBEILEM	Far left	509	1.3	—
Ntela BARDAI	RN and allies	86	0.2	—
Hélène DUPUY	Far left	27	0.1	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next