Riding profile

Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Seine-Saint-Denis

The question

Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-Saint-Denis, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 52% vote share, against 22% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Nadège ABOMANGOLI

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 29.4
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 51.6%
RN and allies 22.2%
LR and allies 18.8%
Centre (Ensemble) 3.2%
Others 2.9%
Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	LR and allies	Centre (Ensemble)
HereSeine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription	51.6%	22.2%	18.8%	3.2%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis	58.8% −7.2	19.9% +2.3	11.9% +6.9	7.0% −3.8
National averageFrance	29.5% +22.1	36.0% −13.8	12.2% +6.5	20.6% −17.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+29.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Nadège ABOMANGOLI Elected	Left (NFP)	21,282	52.6	—
Monique TROVA	RN and allies	7,409	18.3	—
Alain RAMADIER	LR and allies	7,129	17.6	—
Martial MEYONGO AMOUGOU	Centre (Ensemble)	3,321	8.2	—
Gaëtan MINARDI	Far left	563	1.4	—
Praince Germain LOUBOTA	RN and allies	381	0.9	—
Ahmed EL OUAFI	Others	291	0.7	—
Amèle BENTAHAR	Others	84	0.2	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next