Riding profile
Guyane — 2ème circonscription
The question
Guyane — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for another bloc?
Editorial read
Guyane — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Guyane, elected a member with another bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another bloc ahead at 62% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Davy RIMANE
Sits with Others
Current forecast
Others
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 33.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Others | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGuyane — 2ème circonscription | 61.9% | 28.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageGuyane | 66.6% −4.7 | 28.4% | 2.0% +1.5 | 7.4% −4.3 |
| National averageFrance | 3.9% +57.9 | 20.6% +7.8 | 29.5% −25.9 | 36.0% −32.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davy RIMANE Elected | Others | 8,307 | 60.2 | — |
| Sophie CHARLES | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,516 | 25.5 | — |
| Jean-Philippe DOLOR | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,110 | 8.1 | — |
| Aldo NEMAN | Left (NFP) | 594 | 4.3 | — |
| Sébastien CAUGANT | Far left | 269 | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Guyane — 1ère circonscriptionOthers Safe seatOpen →
- Martinique — 4ème circonscriptionOthers Safe seatOpen →
- Martinique — 1ère circonscriptionOthers Safe seatOpen →
- Martinique — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Martinique — 2ème circonscriptionOthers Safe seatOpen →
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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