Riding profile

La Réunion — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — La Réunion

The question

La Réunion — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

La Réunion — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in La Réunion, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 54% vote share, against 30% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Frédéric MAILLOT

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 53.7%
  • RN and allies 30.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 6.7%
  • LR and allies 5.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereLa Réunion — 6ème circonscription 53.7%30.5%6.7%5.8%
Provincial averageLa Réunion 42.4% +11.3 31.2% −0.7 9.7% −3.0 14.5% −8.7
National averageFrance 29.5% +24.2 36.0% −5.5 20.6% −13.9 12.2% −6.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+23.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Frédéric MAILLOT Elected Left (NFP) 10,818 29.8 —
Valérie LEGROS RN and allies 9,790 26.9 —
Alexandre LAÏ-KANE-CHEONG Left (NFP) 9,083 25.0 —
Nadia RAMASSAMY Centre (Ensemble) 3,667 10.1 —
Mario LECHAT LR and allies 1,688 4.6 —
Johny ADEKALOM Centre (Ensemble) 581 1.6 —
Didier LOMBARD Far left 475 1.3 —
Marie Christine POUNIA RN and allies 250 0.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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