France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — February 6, 2026

Fieldwork: February 1, 2026 → February 6, 2026
Sample: 1,137 respondents
Published: February 6, 2026
Pollster release: Pollster release

First round, voting intention

Jordan Bardella 36%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%
Édouard Philippe 11%
Raphaël Glucksmann 9%
Gabriel Attal 8%
Bruno Retailleau 6%
Éric Zemmour 4%
Fabien Roussel 3%
Marine Tondelier 3%
Dominique de Villepin 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

House effect: on the same lineups, IFOP usually puts Philippe 1.1 pt higher than other pollsters (22 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls

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