Polls · Canada · House of Commons

Federal voting intention

Who forms the next government? Every published national poll on federal voting intention, pollster by pollster.

Vote-Scope aggregates them and projects seats in the Commons. Below: the trend against the model estimate, then the full table.

291 polls 14 pollsters Most recent fieldwork: October 24, 2026

Polling trend and our model estimate

Each dot is one published poll; the diamond is the Vote-Scope model estimate with its 95% interval.

Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP Green

Pollster	Field dates	Sample	Pop.	Topline	Source
Liaison Strategies	11–Oct 24	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 31 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	2–Oct 23	1,019	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 28 NDP 13 Bloc 8 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	16–Oct 21	1,500	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 32 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	4–Oct 17	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 30 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	October 16, 2026	1,016	Adults	Liberal 51 Conservative 28 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	2–Oct 13	3,197	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 34 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	9–Oct 12	1,525	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 33 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Sep 27 – Oct 10	1,263	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 29 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	October 9, 2026	1,034	Adults	Liberal 49 Conservative 30 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	Sep 20 – Oct 3	1,526	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 28 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Sep 5 – Oct 2	866	Adults	Liberal 49 Conservative 28 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	Sep 23 – Oct 2	2,020	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 26 NDP 15 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	13–Sep 26	1,526	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 29 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Aug 29 – Sep 25	903	Adults	Liberal 50 Conservative 28 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	18–Sep 23	2,744	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 34 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	6–Sep 19	1,526	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	September 18, 2026	1,026	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Mainstreet Research Mainstreet Research Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	11–Sep 13	2,145	Adults	Decided respondents · calculated from published results Liberal 53 Bloc 22 Conservative 16 NDP 5 Green 1	link
Liaison Strategies	Aug 30 – Sep 12	1,526	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	September 11, 2026	1,014	—	Liberal 48 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	4–Sep 9	1,479	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 33 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Angus Reid Institute	2–Sep 7	1,811	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Léger Marketing	5–Sep 7	1,538	Adults	Liberal 49 Conservative 33 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Aug 23 – Sep 5	1,526	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	September 4, 2026	1,020	—	Liberal 47 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Spark Advocacy	August 30, 2026	6,535	Adults	Liberal 49 Conservative 29 NDP 9 Bloc 5	link
Liaison Strategies	16–Aug 29	1,526	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 29 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	1–Aug 28	1,017	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Ipsos	August 27, 2026	1,001	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 8 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	21–Aug 26	2,022	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 35 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Innovative Research	August 25, 2026	1,345	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 36 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies Liaison Strategies	9–Aug 22	1,526	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 32 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	August 21, 2026	1,022	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Nanos Research	August 14, 2026	1,031	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 29 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Abacus Data ^*	7–Aug 12	1,499	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 35 NDP 10 Bloc 8 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	Jul 26 – Aug 8	1,526	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Synopsis Recherche Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	August 8, 2026	908	Adults	Liberal 43 Bloc 27 Conservative 18 NDP 7 Green 4	—
Research Co.	5–Aug 7	1,001	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 27 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 5	—
Nanos Research	August 7, 2026	908	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 29 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
EKOS Research Associates	Jul 21 – Aug 4	3,195	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 27 NDP 17 Bloc 4 Green 4	link
Léger Marketing	1–Aug 3	1,514	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 34 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	Jul 19 – Aug 1	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	July 31, 2026	1,037	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 28 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	23–Jul 29	1,910	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Angus Reid Institute	25–Jul 27	1,770	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 36 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	12–Jul 25	1,526	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 35 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	3–Jul 24	1,034	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 30 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 5	link
Liaison Strategies	5–Jul 18	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 35 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Jun 26 – Jul 17	1,022	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 31 NDP 14 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	9–Jul 16	4,205	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 37 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Jun 28 – Jul 11	1,526	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 35 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Jun 19 – Jul 10	1,018	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 31 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	July 4, 2026	1,458	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Jun 12 – Jul 3	1,017	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 32 NDP 15 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	Jun 25 – Jul 2	2,366	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	14–Jun 27	1,526	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 34 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	June 27, 2026	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	5–Jun 26	1,017	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 5	link
Léger Marketing	19–Jun 22	1,528	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 34 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	7–Jun 20	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 32 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	May 29 – Jun 19	1,024	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 5	link
Abacus Data	12–Jun 17	3,080	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 37 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	May 31 – Jun 13	1,526	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 32 NDP 14 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Mainstreet Research	June 12, 2026	1,351	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Nanos Research	May 22 – Jun 12	1,021	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 31 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 6	—
Angus Reid Institute	June 7, 2026	1,803	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 36 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Synopsis Recherche Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	June 7, 2026	1,000	—	Liberal 47 Conservative 25 Bloc 25 NDP 6 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	May 24 – Jun 6	1,526	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 32 NDP 15 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	May 15 – Jun 5	1,023	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 29 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 6	link
Abacus Data	May 28 – Jun 2	1,910	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	May 29 – Jun 1	1,532	Adults	Liberal 50 Conservative 34 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	17–May 30	1,526	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 32 NDP 16 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	8–May 29	1,028	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 33 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 5	link
Pallas Data	May 24, 2026	1,295	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	11–May 23	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	1–May 22	1,026	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 33 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 5	link
Abacus Data	May 17, 2026	1,920	—	Liberal 47 Conservative 35 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	4–May 16	1,526	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Apr 24 – May 15	1,035	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 4	—
Synopsis Recherche La Presse Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	7–May 10	1,000	Adults	Liberal 49 Bloc 27 Conservative 16 NDP 5 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Apr 27 – May 9	1,526	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Research Co.	6–May 8	1,003	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Apr 17 – May 8	1,036	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	Apr 30 – May 5	2,478	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 36 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Apr 20 – May 2	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Apr 10 – May 1	1,027	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	13–Apr 25	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 34 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Léger Marketing	April 25, 2026	1,521	—	Liberal 48 Conservative 37 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	3–Apr 24	1,024	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
EKOS Research Associates	13–Apr 24	1,753	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	13–Apr 24	1,916	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Angus Reid Institute	15–Apr 20	2,013	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 35 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	April 19, 2026	2,000	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 36 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Léger Marketing Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	April 19, 2026	1,030	—	Liberal 47 Bloc 29 Conservative 17 NDP 5 Green 2	—
Liaison Strategies	6–Apr 18	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Mar 27 – Apr 17	1,022	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	Mar 30 – Apr 11	1,000	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Mar 20 – Apr 10	1,027	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Spark Advocacy	4–Apr 8	4,026	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 32 NDP 9 Bloc 6	link
Abacus Data	2–Apr 8	1,515	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Ipsos Global News	2–Apr 7	1,000	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Spark Advocacy	April 6, 2026	4,026	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 32 NDP 9 Bloc 6	—
Abacus Data	April 5, 2026	1,680	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Ipsos	April 5, 2026	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Liaison Strategies	Mar 23 – Apr 4	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Mar 13 – Apr 3	1,025	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Léger Marketing	March 29, 2026	1,618	—	Liberal 48 Conservative 34 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	16–Mar 28	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	6–Mar 27	1,029	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 32 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	19–Mar 24	1,515	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 37 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Spark Advocacy	March 24, 2026	4,000	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 30 NDP 11 Bloc 5	—
Liaison Strategies	9–Mar 21	1,000	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 32 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Feb 27 – Mar 20	1,024	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Angus Reid Institute	11–Mar 17	4,005	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
EKOS Research Associates	5–Mar 15	1,047	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 27 NDP 15 Green 5 Bloc 4	link
Angus Reid Institute	12–Mar 15	1,650	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	11–Mar 14	1,000	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Feb 20 – Mar 13	1,015	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 31 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Innovative Research	7–Mar 10	1,838	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 37 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Abacus Data	March 8, 2026	1,931	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 35 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	March 8, 2026	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	Feb 23 – Mar 7	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	4–Mar 7	1,000	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Nanos Research	Feb 13 – Mar 6	1,023	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 33 NDP 10 Bloc 5 Green 5	link
Spark Advocacy	March 4, 2026	3,055	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 31 NDP 10 Bloc 5	link
Abacus Data	1–Mar 4	1,915	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 37 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Mainstreet Research	March 2, 2026	1,087	—	Liberal 46 Conservative 36 NDP 7 Bloc 4 Green 2	link
Léger Marketing	March 1, 2026	1,627	—	Liberal 49 Conservative 35 NDP 5 Bloc 5 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	16–Feb 28	1,000	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	6–Feb 27	1,015	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 5	link
Liaison Strategies	24–Feb 27	1,000	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 35 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Ipsos	February 26, 2026	1,001	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Research Co.	22–Feb 25	1,001	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Angus Reid Institute	20–Feb 23	1,650	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Innovative Research	20–Feb 23	1,666	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	9–Feb 21	1,000	—	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	February 21, 2026	1,500	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 NDP 7 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Jan 30 – Feb 20	1,021	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 34 NDP 11 Bloc 8 Green 5	link
Mainstreet Research	17–Feb 19	1,276	Adults	Liberal 51 Conservative 36 Bloc 6 NDP 4 Green 2	—
Liaison Strategies	2–Feb 14	1,000	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 34 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Jan 23 – Feb 13	1,018	Adults	Liberal 38 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 8 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	10–Feb 13	1,000	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 35 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Innovative Research	February 12, 2026	1,838	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 37 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	7–Feb 11	1,453	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 14 Bloc 5 Green 4	—
Abacus Data	February 8, 2026	1,915	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 37 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Research Co.	4–Feb 6	1,001	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Jan 16 – Feb 6	1,049	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 35 NDP 13 Bloc 9 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	February 1, 2026	1,000	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 35 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Mainstreet Research	February 1, 2026	1,276	—	Liberal 51 Conservative 36 Bloc 5 NDP 4 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	19–Jan 31	1,000	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 35 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	9–Jan 30	1,055	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 35 NDP 13 Bloc 9 Green 3	link
Innovative Research	January 28, 2026	1,666	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Angus Reid Institute	24–Jan 27	1,420	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Angus Reid Institute	23–Jan 26	1,420	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Léger Marketing	23–Jan 26	1,611	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 38 Bloc 6 NDP 5 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	January 25, 2026	2,498	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	12–Jan 24	1,000	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 34 NDP 10 Bloc 8 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	2–Jan 23	1,053	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 35 NDP 12 Bloc 8 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	January 19, 2026	1,453	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 14 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	5–Jan 17	1,000	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 35 NDP 11 Bloc 8 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Dec 26 – Jan 16	1,084	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 35 NDP 12 Bloc 8 Green 5	link
Abacus Data	January 14, 2026	2,008	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	January 12, 2026	1,850	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Pallas Data	January 11, 2026	1,120	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	2–Jan 10	1,000	—	Liberal 39 Conservative 36 NDP 12 Bloc 8 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Dec 19 – Jan 9	1,054	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 36 NDP 11 Bloc 8 Green 4	link
Innovative Research	January 8, 2026	2,249	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 39 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1,054	Adults	Liberal 38 Conservative 36 NDP 12 Bloc 8 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	December 30, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 38 Conservative 37 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	5–Dec 26	1,057	—	Liberal 38 Conservative 35 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	December 24, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 39 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	December 20, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 38 Conservative 38 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Nov 28 – Dec 19	1,059	—	Liberal 36 Conservative 36 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	15–Dec 18	1,850	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Pallas Data	13–Dec 16	1,120	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Pallas Data	December 14, 2025	1,074	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 8 Green 4	—
Ipsos	December 12, 2025	1,502	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 37 NDP 9 Bloc 9 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Nov 21 – Dec 12	1,087	—	Liberal 39 Conservative 36 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Mainstreet Research	December 10, 2025	1,098	—	Conservative 42 Liberal 41 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 1	link
Innovative Research	December 9, 2025	2,159	—	Liberal 39 Conservative 39 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	December 7, 2025	1,500	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 41 NDP 9 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Nov 14 – Dec 5	1,042	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Mainstreet Research	2–Dec 4	1,098	Adults	Conservative 42 Liberal 41 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 1	—
Angus Reid Institute	Nov 26 – Dec 1	4,025	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 37 NDP 10 Bloc 9 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	28–Nov 30	1,579	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 36 Bloc 9 NDP 8 Green 4	link
Abacus Data	November 30, 2025	1,802	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 41 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Innovative Research	November 29, 2025	1,846	—	Liberal 39 Conservative 38 NDP 9 Bloc 8 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	November 29, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 36 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	7–Nov 28	1,084	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	20–Nov 27	2,421	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Abacus Data	24–Nov 27	1,500	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 7 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Oct 31 – Nov 21	1,053	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 37 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	17–Nov 20	1,579	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 36 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 4	—
Nanos Research	Oct 24 – Nov 14	1,060	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 38 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	11–Nov 14	1,000	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 36 Bloc 12 NDP 5 Green 2	—
EKOS Research Associates	6–Nov 11	1,191	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	November 9, 2025	1,031	—	Liberal 39 Bloc 28 Conservative 25 NDP 5 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	November 8, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Mainstreet Research	November 8, 2025	1,084	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 40 Bloc 6 NDP 5 Green 2	link
Angus Reid Institute	5–Nov 7	2,038	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 38 NDP 9 Bloc 8 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Oct 17 – Nov 7	1,122	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 8 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	November 6, 2025	1,916	—	Conservative 41 Liberal 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
EKOS Research Associates	Oct 30 – Nov 4	1,126	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 36 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Léger Marketing	Oct 31 – Nov 2	1,585	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 38 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	November 2, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 38 NDP 11 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	10–Oct 31	1,060	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 37 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Research Co.	26–Oct 29	1,003	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Innovative Research	6–Oct 27	4,106	Adults	Liberal 40 Conservative 39 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	October 27, 2025	2,922	—	Conservative 42 Liberal 40 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	22–Oct 24	1,199	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	3–Oct 24	1,060	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 37 NDP 13 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Sep 26 – Oct 17	1,021	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 37 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	14–Oct 17	1,000	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 39 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 1	—
Abacus Data	12–Oct 15	2,273	Adults	Conservative 41 Liberal 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Pallas Data	October 14, 2025	1,206	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 37 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Abacus Data	October 12, 2025	4,501	—	Conservative 41 Liberal 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Nanos Research	Sep 19 – Oct 10	1,002	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 37 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 4	—
Léger Marketing	3–Oct 5	1,562	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Sep 12 – Oct 3	1,027	Adults	Liberal 39 Conservative 38 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	Sep 30 – Oct 3	1,000	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 40 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 1	—
Abacus Data	September 29, 2025	1,504	—	Conservative 41 Liberal 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	5–Sep 26	1,030	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 37 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Angus Reid Institute	19–Sep 22	1,570	Adults	Conservative 41 Liberal 38 NDP 10 Bloc 8 Green 2	link
Liaison Strategies	September 20, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 37 NDP 10 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Aug 29 – Sep 19	1,056	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 36 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	14–Sep 17	1,504	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 2	—
Abacus Data	September 15, 2025	2,230	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Léger Marketing Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	September 14, 2025	1,053	—	Liberal 42 Bloc 30 Conservative 21 NDP 4 Green 3	—
EKOS Research Associates	5–Sep 12	1,614	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 34 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Research Co.	10–Sep 12	1,003	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Aug 22 – Sep 12	1,049	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 35 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Ipsos	September 7, 2025	1,001	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 39 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 1	link
Léger Marketing	September 6, 2025	1,592	—	Liberal 47 Conservative 38 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Aug 15 – Sep 5	1,002	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 33 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Liaison Strategies	2–Sep 5	1,000	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 39 NDP 6 Bloc 5 Green 1	—
Angus Reid Institute	Aug 29 – Sep 4	3,656	Adults	Conservative 40 Liberal 38 NDP 10 Bloc 8 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	August 31, 2025	1,500	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 40 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 2	link
Mainstreet Research	August 30, 2025	1,008	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 5 Green 1	link
Nanos Research	8–Aug 29	1,009	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 32 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	24–Aug 28	1,529	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 4	—
Liaison Strategies	August 26, 2025	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 35 NDP 10 Bloc 5 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	1–Aug 22	1,045	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 34 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	August 17, 2025	1,915	—	Conservative 41 Liberal 39 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Léger Marketing Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	August 17, 2025	977	—	Liberal 43 Bloc 28 Conservative 22 NDP 5 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Jul 25 – Aug 15	1,050	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	10–Aug 13	1,500	Adults	Conservative 41 Liberal 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	—
Liaison Strategies	6–Aug 8	1,000	—	Liberal 44 Conservative 35 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Jul 18 – Aug 8	1,094	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 32 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Spark Advocacy	4–Aug 7	3,450	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7	—
Léger Marketing	1–Aug 4	1,617	Adults	Liberal 46 Conservative 36 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	August 4, 2025	1,686	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Jul 11 – Aug 1	1,096	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Pallas Data	July 31, 2025	1,301	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	4–Jul 25	1,027	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 34 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	Jun 27 – Jul 18	1,026	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 34 NDP 10 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
EKOS Research Associates	13–Jul 17	1,199	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 30 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 4	—
Abacus Data	10–Jul 15	1,915	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 40 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	8–Jul 14	1,817	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Nanos Research	Jun 20 – Jul 11	1,047	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 34 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	6–Jul 9	2,585	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Léger Marketing	4–Jul 6	1,546	Adults	Liberal 48 Conservative 35 NDP 7 Bloc 6 Green 3	—
Nanos Research	Jun 13 – Jul 4	1,056	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Mainstreet Research	1–Jul 4	1,084	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 40 Bloc 6 NDP 5 Green 2	—
Research Co.	Jun 30 – Jul 2	1,001	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 37 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 2	link
Abacus Data	June 29, 2025	1,500	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 9 Bloc 7 Green 2	link
Nanos Research	6–Jun 27	1,076	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 13 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Liaison Strategies	24–Jun 27	1,000	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 36 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Mainstreet Research	June 26, 2025	1,168	—	Liberal 47 Conservative 38 NDP 6 Bloc 3 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing Quebec only Federal voting intentions in Quebec	June 21, 2025	1,065	—	Liberal 44 Bloc 25 Conservative 23 NDP 5 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	May 30 – Jun 20	1,090	Adults	Liberal 45 Conservative 31 NDP 12 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	June 18, 2025	1,500	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 39 NDP 7 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Innovative Research	June 18, 2025	4,029	—	Liberal 43 Conservative 38 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	May 23 – Jun 13	1,080	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 11 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	9–Jun 12	1,562	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 38 Bloc 7 NDP 6 Green 4	—
Nanos Research	May 16 – Jun 6	1,079	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 33 NDP 12 Bloc 7 Green 4	link
EKOS Research Associates	May 28 – Jun 4	1,529	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 32 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 3	—
Abacus Data	June 4, 2025	2,585	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
EKOS Research Associates	1–Jun 4	1,614	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 34 NDP 13 Bloc 5 Green 4	—
Nanos Research	9–May 30	1,079	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 36 NDP 11 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Ipsos	26–May 29	1,001	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 39 NDP 7 Bloc 7 Green 1	—
Spark Advocacy	May 28, 2025	3,450	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 7	link
Nanos Research	2–May 23	1,081	—	Liberal 40 Conservative 39 NDP 10 Bloc 6 Green 4	link
Innovative Research	12–May 22	2,517	Adults	Liberal 42 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	19–May 22	1,592	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 38 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Abacus Data	15–May 21	2,273	Adults	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 7 Green 3	link
Nanos Research	Apr 25 – May 16	1,127	—	Liberal 41 Conservative 40 NDP 9 Bloc 5 Green 4	link
Nanos Research	Apr 18 – May 9	1,139	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 41 NDP 8 Bloc 5 Green 3	link
Abacus Data	4–May 7	1,915	Adults	Liberal 43 Conservative 40 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 2	—
Nanos Research	Apr 11 – May 2	1,297	—	Liberal 42 Conservative 39 NDP 8 Bloc 6 Green 3	link
Léger Marketing	Apr 29 – May 1	1,502	Adults	Liberal 44 Conservative 41 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 1	link
Research Co.	Apr 28 – May 1	1,001	Adults	Liberal 47 Conservative 37 NDP 6 Bloc 6 Green 2	—

National and big-regional polls only. District-level polls appear on each district’s forecast page.

* Under review: this poll remains visible, but all or part of its signal is temporarily excluded from the model pending corroboration.