Polling trend vs. Vote-Scope model
Each dot is one published poll; the diamond is the Vote-Scope model estimate with its 95% interval.
Polls · Quebec · National Assembly
CAQ, PLQ, PQ, QS: every published provincial poll on Quebec voting intention, pollster by pollster.
Vote-Scope aggregates them and projects the National Assembly. Below: the trend against the model estimate, then the full table.
Each dot is one published poll; the diamond is the Vote-Scope model estimate with its 95% interval.
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léger Quebecor | 12–Jun 15 | 832 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | June 14, 2026 | 1,014 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data Qc125 | 10–Jun 12 | 1,099 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | June 11, 2026 | 1,099 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Synopsis La Presse | 5–Jun 8 | 1,000 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Synopsis | June 7, 2026 | 1,000 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger Quebecor | May 17, 2026 | 1,027 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Mainstreet Research | May 15, 2026 | 1,468 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Synopsis | May 9, 2026 | 1,000 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | May 8, 2026 | 1,176 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Liaison | 24–Apr 26 | 1,000 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | April 19, 2026 | 1,030 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | April 14, 2026 | 956 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | April 4, 2026 | 1,036 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | March 21, 2026 | 1,003 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | March 1, 2026 | 1,041 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | February 22, 2026 | 1,075 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | January 28, 2026 | 1,000 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Innovative | January 24, 2026 | 600 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | January 10, 2026 | 1,128 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | December 14, 2025 | 1,039 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | November 30, 2025 | 1,042 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Angus Reid | November 29, 2025 | 645 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | November 25, 2025 | 1,102 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | November 9, 2025 | 1,031 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | October 19, 2025 | 1,234 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | September 27, 2025 | 1,037 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | September 14, 2025 | 1,053 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | September 6, 2025 | 1,187 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Angus Reid | September 1, 2025 | 622 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | August 31, 2025 | 1,045 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | August 17, 2025 | 977 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Mainstreet Research | June 22, 2025 | 910 | Adults | link | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | June 21, 2025 | 1,056 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | June 15, 2025 | 1,085 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | May 10, 2025 | 1,051 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | March 9, 2025 | 1,007 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | March 1, 2025 | 1,120 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | February 1, 2025 | 1,017 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | January 18, 2025 | 1,003 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | December 1, 2024 | 1,002 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | November 26, 2024 | 1,053 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | November 10, 2024 | 1,010 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | October 5, 2024 | 1,036 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | September 26, 2024 | 1,111 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | September 3, 2024 | 1,191 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Léger | August 24, 2024 | 1,041 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | June 22, 2024 | 1,445 | Adults | — | ⤓ PNG | |
| Pallas Data | June 8, 2024 | 1,339 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | June 2, 2024 | 1,015 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | May 12, 2024 | 1,031 | Adults | — | — | |
| Pallas Data | April 21, 2024 | 1,256 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | April 20, 2024 | 1,026 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | March 17, 2024 | 1,033 | Adults | — | — | |
| Pallas Data | February 24, 2024 | 1,122 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | February 4, 2024 | 1,032 | Adults | — | — | |
| Pallas Data | January 24, 2024 | 1,175 | Adults | link | — | |
| Léger | December 3, 2023 | 1,040 | Adults | — | — | |
| Pallas Data | November 18, 2023 | 1,178 | Adults | link | — | |
| Léger | October 29, 2023 | 1,026 | Adults | — | — | |
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | 1,095 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | September 24, 2023 | 1,028 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | August 20, 2023 | 1,036 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | June 11, 2023 | 1,042 | Adults | — | — | |
| Angus Reid | June 1, 2023 | 600 | Adults | link | — | |
| Léger | April 30, 2023 | 1,201 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | February 25, 2023 | 1,044 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | December 9, 2022 | 1,002 | Adults | — | — | |
| Léger | November 5, 2022 | 1,028 | Adults | — | — |
National and big-regional polls only. District-level polls appear on each district’s forecast page.