France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — August 25, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (July 8, 2026), same lineup:
- Le Pen 36% → 33% (−3 pts)
- Glucksmann 9% → 12% (+3 pts)
- Mélenchon 15% → 17% (+2 pts)
House effect: on the same lineups, IFOP usually puts Philippe 1.1 pt higher than other pollsters (22 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.
This poll tested 7 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Roussel, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Édouard Philippe14.5%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Bruno Retailleau6%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Roussel, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Édouard Philippe18%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Raphaël Glucksmann12%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 3 · with Glucksmann, Attal, Roussel, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Raphaël Glucksmann15%
- Gabriel Attal14%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 4 · with Glucksmann, Roussel, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Raphaël Glucksmann18%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Bruno Retailleau12%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 5 · with Philippe, Hollande
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Édouard Philippe21%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon19%
- François Hollande12%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
Line-up 6 · with Glucksmann, Attal
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon18.5%
- Raphaël Glucksmann17%
- Gabriel Attal15%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
Line-up 7 · with Philippe, Glucksmann
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Édouard Philippe19%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
- Raphaël Glucksmann15%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls