France · 2027 presidential poll

YouGov — September 21, 2026

Fieldwork: September 17, 2026 → September 21, 2026
Sample: 1,103 respondents
Published: September 21, 2026
Pollster release: Pollster release

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15%
Édouard Philippe 10%
Gabriel Attal 8%
Bruno Retailleau 7%
Raphaël Glucksmann 5%
Éric Zemmour 5%
François Hollande 4%
François Ruffin 2%
Marine Tondelier 2%
Dominique de Villepin 2%
David Lisnard 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%
Fabien Roussel 1%
Xavier Bertrand 1%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

Glucksmann 8% vs 12.4% (−4.4 pts)
Attal 9% vs 4.9% (+4.1 pts)
Zemmour 6% vs 4.3% (+1.7 pt)

House effect: on the same lineups, YouGov usually puts Philippe 4.1 pts lower, Le Pen 1.7 pt higher and Tondelier 1.5 pt higher than other pollsters (8 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect

This poll tested 6 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Attal, Glucksmann, Hollande, Ruffin, Villepin, Lisnard, Bertrand

Marine Le Pen33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Édouard Philippe10%
Gabriel Attal8%
Bruno Retailleau7%
Raphaël Glucksmann5%
Éric Zemmour5%
François Hollande4%
François Ruffin2%
Marine Tondelier2%
Dominique de Villepin2%
David Lisnard2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%
Fabien Roussel1%
Xavier Bertrand1%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Attal, Faure

Marine Le Pen35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Édouard Philippe12%
Gabriel Attal9%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Éric Zemmour6%
Olivier Faure5%
Marine Tondelier4%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Attal, Glucksmann

Marine Le Pen34%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Édouard Philippe12%
Gabriel Attal9%
Raphaël Glucksmann8%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Éric Zemmour6%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Le Maire

Marine Le Pen35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Édouard Philippe13%
Raphaël Glucksmann9%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Éric Zemmour6%
Marine Tondelier3%
Bruno Le Maire3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Attal, Glucksmann

Marine Le Pen35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Gabriel Attal14%
Bruno Retailleau10%
Raphaël Glucksmann9%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 6 · with Philippe

Marine Le Pen37%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
Édouard Philippe17%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Marine Tondelier7%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls

← More recent poll Earlier poll