Riding profile

KS-3

US House district — KS · Mixed · us ks

The question

KS-3: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

KS-3, a mixed riding in KS, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 58% vote share, against 40% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DAVIDS, SHARICE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Davids, Sharice

  • Democrat Challenger

    Preu, Sarah

  • Republican Challenger

    Jenkins, Eric

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 58.0%
  • Republican 40.4%
  • Other 1.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereKS-3 58.0%40.4%1.6%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +6.1 46.6% −6.2 5.4% −3.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
10.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.8 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026