France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — September 29, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):
- Philippe 16% vs 12.5% (+3.5 pts)
- Le Pen 32% vs 35.2% (−3.2 pts)
- Attal 8% vs 4.9% (+3.1 pts)
Since the pollster’s previous wave (September 11, 2026), same lineup:
- Le Pen 35% → 32% (−3 pts)
- Philippe 14% → 16% (+2 pts)
- Mélenchon 17% → 15% (−2 pts)
House effect: on the same lineups, IFOP usually puts Philippe 1.1 pt higher than other pollsters (22 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.
This poll tested 10 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Lisnard, Ruffin, Villepin
- Marine Le Pen31%
- Édouard Philippe15%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Raphaël Glucksmann9%
- Gabriel Attal7%
- Bruno Retailleau5%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- David Lisnard3.5%
- François Ruffin3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Dominique de Villepin2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal
- Marine Le Pen32%
- Édouard Philippe16%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Bruno Retailleau7%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Royal
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Marine Tondelier6%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Ségolène Royal3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 4 · with Philippe, Maurel
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe23%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- Marine Tondelier6%
- Fabien Roussel3.5%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Emmanuel Maurel1%
Line-up 5 · with Philippe, Glucksmann
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Édouard Philippe21%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 6 · with Philippe, Hollande
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Édouard Philippe22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- François Hollande8%
- Bruno Retailleau7%
- Marine Tondelier5%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 7 · with Attal, Faure
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Gabriel Attal17%
- Bruno Retailleau11%
- Marine Tondelier5.5%
- Éric Zemmour4.5%
- Olivier Faure4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Line-up 8 · with Philippe, Guedj
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe23%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Marine Tondelier5.5%
- Fabien Roussel3.5%
- Jérôme Guedj3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Line-up 9 · with Attal, Glucksmann
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Gabriel Attal15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann13%
- Bruno Retailleau10%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 10 · with Philippe, Faure
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe23%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Marine Tondelier5%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3.5%
- Olivier Faure3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls