Riding profile

OH-6

US House district — OH · Mixed · us oh

The question

OH-6: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

OH-6, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

RULLI, MICHAEL

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Rulli, Michael

  • Democrat Challenger

    Hanni, Brent Charles

  • Democrat Challenger

    Ritchie, Malcolm

  • Democrat Challenger

    Vitus, Adrian J

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
28.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 64.3%
  • Democrat 35.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereOH-6 64.3%35.7%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +17.6 51.9% −16.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
31.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.2 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 6 (39006) 80%
  • Congressional District 12 (39012) 11%
  • Congressional District 7 (39007) 7%

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026