Riding profile
OH-6
The question
OH-6: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereOH-6 | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +16.7 | 54.3% −16.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
OH-6, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 62% vote share, against 38% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
RULLI, MICHAEL
Sits with Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Rulli, Michael
-
Democrat Challenger Hanni, Brent Charles
- Democrat Challenger
Ritchie, Malcolm
- Democrat Challenger
Vitus, Adrian J
Previous election · 2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 6
(39006)80% - Congressional District 12
(39012)11% - Congressional District 7
(39007)7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026