Riding profile

OH-13

US House district — OH · Mixed · us oh

The question

OH-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

OH-13, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 54% vote share, against 46% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SYKES, EMILIA

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Sykes, Emilia

  • Other Challenger

    Dixit, Sandeep S Mr

  • Republican Challenger

    Briem, Margaret Elizabeth

  • Republican Challenger

    Coleman, Carey

  • Republican Challenger

    Coughlin, Kevin

  • Republican Challenger

    Kevin, Siembida

  • Republican Challenger

    Patel, Niranjan Neil Mr

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
8.7
P(close race)
6%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 54.3%
  • Republican 45.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereOH-13 54.3%45.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +2.5 46.6% −1.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
5.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.5 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 13 (39013) 89%
  • Congressional District 14 (39014) 8%

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026