Riding profile
OH-13
The question
OH-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereOH-13 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +2.8 | 44.9% −2.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
OH-13, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 57% vote share, against 43% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
SYKES, EMILIA
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Other Challenger
Dixit, Sandeep S Mr
Previous election · 2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 13
(39013)89% - Congressional District 14
(39014)8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026