Riding profile
OH-7
The question
OH-7: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
OH-7, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 52% vote share, against 48% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
MILLER, MAX
Sits with Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Republican Incumbent Miller, Max
-
Democrat Challenger Eisner, Michael
- Democrat Challenger
Fitzgerald, Edward O'Donnell
- Democrat Challenger
Poindexter, Brian
- Democrat Challenger
Rodriguez-Carbone, Laura D
- Democrat Challenger
Schulz, Scott
- Republican Challenger
Schulz, Jonah
Current forecast
Republican
Toss-up
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.9
- P(close race)
- 76%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereOH-7 | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 46.6% +5.3 | 51.9% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
1 poll
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gbao | 16–Jun 20 | 500 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 7
(39007)69% - Congressional District 4
(39004)31%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026