Riding profile

SC-1

US House district — SC · Mixed · us sc

The question

SC-1: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

SC-1, a mixed riding in SC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 54% vote share, against 46% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MACE, NANCY

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Republican

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 35%

2 candidates polled · Latest poll Jun 4, 2026 · bymeeting_street_research

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Mace, Nancy

  • Democrat Open seat

    Atwood, Kj

  • Democrat Open seat

    Dantzler, Francina

  • Democrat Open seat

    Deford, William Mac

  • Democrat Open seat

    Diaz, Max Eliot

  • Democrat Open seat

    Fulmer, Matthew

  • Democrat Open seat

    Lacore, Nancy

  • Democrat Open seat

    Rivera-Vazquez, Mayra

  • Other Open seat

    Reeside, William Oliver Jr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Brown, Dan

  • Republican Open seat

    Cunningham, Logan

  • Republican Open seat

    Dykes, Tyler

  • Republican Open seat

    Honeycutt, Jenny Costa

  • Republican Open seat

    Mccown, Sam Dr

  • Republican Open seat

    Pelbath, Alex

  • Republican Open seat

    Smith, Mark

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.9
P(close race)
3%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 54.0%
  • Democrat 46.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereSC-1 54.0%46.0%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +7.3 51.9% −5.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

1 poll

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
Public Policy Polling 5–Dec 6 645 LV
Republican 39 Democrat 36
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
16.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.7 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026