Riding profile
SC-1
The question
SC-1: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Republican
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.1
- P(close race)
- 76%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereSC-1 | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +7.1 | 54.3% −6.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
5 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling The Bench | 9–Sep 10 | 536 | RV | link | |
| Public Policy Polling The Bench | 9–Sep 10 | 536 | RV | link | |
| Gqr House Majority PAC | 15–Jul 22 | — | LV | link | |
| Gqr House Majority PAC | 15–Jul 22 | — | LV | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | 5–Dec 6 | 645 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
SC-1, a mixed riding in SC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 52% vote share, against 48% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
MACE, NANCY
Sits with Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Other Open seat
Reeside, William Oliver Jr.
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026