Riding profile

SC-2

US House district — SC · Mixed · us sc

The question

SC-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
8.9
P(close race)
3%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 54.4%
  • Democrat 45.6%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereSC-2 54.4%45.6%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +9.5 54.3% −8.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

SC-2, a mixed riding in SC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 54% vote share, against 46% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

WILSON, JOE THE HON.

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Wilson, Joe The Hon.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Khalifa, Zyon Deshon

  • Democrat Challenger

    Pruitt, Roger Keith

  • Republican Challenger

    Gibbons, Samuel Luther Mr. Iv

  • Republican Challenger

    Redmond, Hampton

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
19.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.4 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026