Riding profile

SC-5

US House district — SC · Mixed · us sc

The question

SC-5: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

SC-5, a mixed riding in SC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 60% vote share, against 40% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

NORMAN, RALPH W. JR.

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Norman, Ralph W. Jr.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Clough, Andrew

  • Democrat Open seat

    Dittmer, Mallory

  • Democrat Open seat

    Harper, Alex

  • Republican Open seat

    Bledsoe, Bill

  • Republican Open seat

    Climer, Wes

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
20.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 60.1%
  • Democrat 39.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereSC-5 60.1%39.9%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +13.5 51.9% −12.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
27.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026