Riding profile

SC-4

US House district — SC · Mixed · us sc

The question

SC-4: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

SC-4, a mixed riding in SC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

TIMMONS, WILLIAM R IV

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Timmons, William R Iv

  • Democrat Challenger

    Mcclain, Courtney

  • Republican Challenger

    Atchley, David Michael

  • Republican Challenger

    Lee, Robert Eugene

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 58.5%
  • Democrat 40.9%
  • Other 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereSC-4 58.5%40.9%0.6%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +11.9 51.9% −11.0 5.4% −4.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
22.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.8 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026