Riding profile

Maurice-Richard

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Maurice-Richard: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

PQ

Toss-up

Probability
86%
Mean margin (pts)
2.3
P(close race)
94%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 30.7%

    Aisha Issa

  • QLP 28.6%

    Nada Boumeftah

  • QS 25.5%

    Anne Latendresse

  • CAQ 7.5%

    Georges Chartier

  • PCQ 5.7%

    Doreus Mercidieu

  • Other 1.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ QLP QS CAQ
HereMaurice-Richard 30.7%28.6%25.5%7.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.9% +2.8 23.4% +5.2 9.6% +15.9 21.3% −13.8

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Maurice-Richard, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the Quebec Liberals, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Haroun Bouazzi

Sits with QS

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Georges Chartier

    Georges Chartier

    Georges Chartier is an enthusiastic high school teacher who combines several years of experience in the education sector, notably at Sophie-Barat School and Évangéline School. He daily accompanies young people and families who wish to rely on accessible public services, safe living environments, and schools that meet their ambitions.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger

    Doreus Mercidieu

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Aisha Issa

    Aisha Issa

    source ↗
  • QLP Challenger
    Nada Boumeftah

    Nada Boumeftah

    A lawyer specializing in criminal law, penal law, and youth protection, Nada Boumeftah founded her own law firm in 2016. Her career has taken her from the courtrooms of Quebec’s Far North, where she practiced for more than five years, to courthouses in various regions of Quebec. A trilingual Quebecker of Moroccan origin, the QLP candidate in Maurice-Richard is also a legal columnist, notably for ICI RDI and Noovo, where she works to make the law accessible to the general public and help people understand how the justice system works. She is involved with the pro bono legal clinics at Saint-Michel and HocheLégal, and mentors the next generation of lawyers at the law schools of McGill University, the University of Montreal, and the University of Sherbrooke. She is also an ambassador for Big Brothers Big Sisters of Montreal. Mr. Boumeftah plans to spend the coming weeks meeting with residents and organizations in Maurice-Richard, particularly to discuss housing, education, integration, and access to justice.

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger
    Anne Latendresse

    Anne Latendresse

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
QS
Margin
7.5 pts
Turnout
68.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.2 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Haroun Bouazzi Elected QS 10,903 34.7 —
Audrey Murray CAQ 8,542 27.2 —
Jonathan Marleau QLP 5,414 17.2 —
Chantal Jorg PQ 4,612 14.7 —
Louise Sexton PCQ 1,322 4.2 —
Gilles Fournelle Other 311 1.0 —
Andrea Di Stefano Other 145 0.5 —
Kassandre Chéry Théodat Other 115 0.4 —
Patrick Bouchardy Other 83 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026