Riding profile
Bourassa-Sauvé
The question
Bourassa-Sauvé: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 34.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | PQ | PCQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBourassa-Sauvé | 51.8% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +28.3 | 27.9% −10.7 | 16.1% −5.2 | 9.6% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bourassa-Sauvé, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 52% vote share, against 17% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Madwa-Nika Cadet
Sits with QLP
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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QLP Incumbent
Madwa-Nika Cadet
Madwa-Nika Cadet has represented the riding of Bourassa-Sauvé in the Quebec National Assembly since October 2022. As part of this mandate, she held the position of Vice-Chair of the Commission des finances publiques and was the Quebec Liberal Party's spokesperson for education, culture and communications, the French language, employment, labor and the fight against racism. A member of the Quebec Bar and an accredited mediator, she holds a bachelor's degree in law and a master's degree in business administration from the Université de Sherbrooke, as well as a master's degree in public policy from Georgetown University. Madwa-Nika Cadet's professional career has included working as a policy advisor in the office of Canada's Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, practicing corporate and commercial law in the Montreal office of multinational law firm 大成Dentons, and acting as a legal analyst with the World Bank Group. Strongly committed to the community, she has served on the boards of the Fondation des Offices jeunesse internationaux du Québec and Centraide of Greater Montreal, and is co-founder of the Centre culturel afro-canadien de Montréal. Throughout her career, Madwa-Nika Cadet has been recognized many times for her excellence and commitment, including as a laureate of Black History Month in Quebec and, more recently, as a recipient of the King Charles III Coronation Medal. She lives in the Bourassa-Sauvé riding with her husband and two young children.
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CAQ Challenger
Isabelle Lamy
Born in Montréal-Nord, I grew up and lived there for over thirty years, deeply shaped by the human richness and diversity of this neighbourhood. My years abroad and my many travels broadened my worldview, nurtured my curiosity, and strengthened my ability to understand varied realities. My atypical career path has allowed me to acquire skills that I have been able to transfer from one job to another, with great adaptability and a strong sense of responsibility. My childhood, my values, and my life as a single mother shaped me and turned me toward the community, attentive to the needs of others. Among my professional experiences, my role as a political attaché has been the most rewarding. It allowed me to work at the heart of issues that directly affect citizens, to listen, to understand, and to contribute to concrete solutions. This experience confirmed my desire to invest in projects that bring people together, that improve people's lives, and that give deep meaning to my commitment.
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PCQ Challenger
Ismaila Marega
Ismaila chose Quebec as his adopted homeland about fifteen years ago, attracted by the values of freedom, opportunity, and solidarity that characterize our society. Since his arrival, he has multiplied opportunities to learn and integrate, pursuing studies at the Université du Québec à Rimouski, the University of Montreal, and Collège LaSalle.
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PQ Challenger
Edline Henri
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QS Challenger
Mara Hermione Pierre
Mara Hermione Pierre wants to represent Bourassa-Sauvé residents with authenticity and determination. After arriving in Canada at 19, she settled in Montréal-Nord and became deeply rooted in her community. Trained in accounting and management, she is recognized for leadership and commitment, earning a community distinction in 2024. Active with young people, she advocates a fairer, more inclusive, and solidaristic Quebec where families, seniors, youth, and newcomers can thrive.
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madwa-Nika Cadet Elected | QLP | 9,704 | 40.1 | — |
| Absa Diallo | CAQ | 6,049 | 25.0 | — |
| Ricardo Gustave | QS | 3,737 | 15.4 | — |
| Carmel-Antoine Bessard | PCQ | 2,161 | 8.9 | — |
| Zacharie Robitaille | PQ | 2,101 | 8.7 | — |
| Omar Ahmed | Other | 266 | 1.1 | — |
| Smaille Toussaint | Other | 94 | 0.4 | — |
| Shawn Lalande McLean | Other | 70 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026