Riding profile
Bourassa-Sauvé
The question
Bourassa-Sauvé: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Editorial read
Bourassa-Sauvé, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 65% vote share, against 13% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Madwa-Nika Cadet
Sits with PLQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PLQ Incumbent 
Madwa-Nika Cadet
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Ismaila Marega
Ismaila chose Quebec as his adopted homeland about fifteen years ago, attracted by the values of freedom, opportunity, and solidarity that characterize our society. Since his arrival, he has multiplied opportunities to learn and integrate, pursuing studies at the Université du Québec à Rimouski, the University of Montreal, and Collège LaSalle.
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 51.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBourassa-Sauvé | 65.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +37.8 | 30.1% −16.7 | 8.3% +3.1 | 13.2% −5.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madwa-Nika Cadet Elected | PLQ | 9,704 | 40.1 | — |
| Absa Diallo | CAQ | 6,049 | 25.0 | — |
| Ricardo Gustave | QS | 3,737 | 15.4 | — |
| Carmel-Antoine Bessard | PCQ | 2,161 | 8.9 | — |
| Zacharie Robitaille | PQ | 2,101 | 8.7 | — |
| Omar Ahmed | Other | 266 | 1.1 | — |
| Smaille Toussaint | Other | 94 | 0.4 | — |
| Shawn Lalande McLean | Other | 70 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026