Riding profile

Jeanne-Mance–Viger

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Jeanne-Mance–Viger: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Current forecast

QLP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
47.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • QLP 60.9%

    Filomena Rotiroti incumbent

  • PCQ 13.8%

    Chakib Saad

  • PQ 8.6%

    Adnane Najahi

  • CAQ 8.4%

    Ernest Denon

  • QS 5.2%

    Dalila Assefsaf

  • Other 3.1%

    Younes Gouriny Green Party of Québec

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

QLP PCQ PQ CAQ
HereJeanne-Mance–Viger 60.9%13.8%8.6%8.4%
Provincial averageQuebec 23.4% +37.5 16.1% −2.3 27.9% −19.3 21.3% −12.9

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Jeanne-Mance–Viger, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 61% vote share, against 14% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Filomena Rotiroti

Sits with QLP

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • QLP Incumbent
    Filomena Rotiroti

    Filomena Rotiroti

    Filomena Rotiroti, MNA for Jeanne-Mance-Viger since 2008, proudly represents the people of her riding at the National Assembly. Her primary motivation in politics is to improve people's quality of life and make a difference in their daily lives. Originally from the east end of Montreal, she puts her knowledge and political experience at the service of the citizens of St-Léonard. She has extensive experience in public administration and economic development. Prior to her election as MNA, she held a number of positions in the political arena: organizer, political advisor, manager and director in the ministerial cabinet. She has also served as Chair of several parliamentary committees, and as Parliamentary Assistant to the Minister of Immigration and Tourism. She was Chair of the Liberal government caucus, and played a very important role as Chief Whip of the Official Opposition. And she is currently Official Opposition Critic for Employment, Infrastructure, Regional Economic Development and the Metropolis.

    source ↗
  • CAQ Challenger
    Ernest Denon

    Ernest Denon

    Holder of a Master's degree in audit and management control obtained at Pigier, in Benin in 2010, Ernest Denon immigrated to Canada in December 2015, first settling in Laval, then in Montreal. All his university degrees, including his master's, have been recognized within the Quebec curriculum.

    source ↗
  • Other Challenger

    Younes Gouriny

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Chakib Saad

    Chakib Saad

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Adnane Najahi

    Adnane Najahi

    Mr. Najahi has been an active member of the Parti Québécois in the riding for several years.

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger

    Dalila Assefsaf

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
QLP
Margin
37.3 pts
Turnout
55.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.7 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Filomena Rotiroti Elected QLP 14,471 53.9 —
Julie De Martino CAQ 4,455 16.6 —
Chakib Saad PCQ 3,113 11.6 —
Marie-Josée Forget QS 2,858 10.7 —
Laurence Massey PQ 1,122 4.2 —
Giovanni Manfredi Other 496 1.9 —
Alessandra Szilagyi Other 319 1.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026