Riding profile

Jeanne-Mance–Viger

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Jeanne-Mance–Viger: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Editorial read

Jeanne-Mance–Viger, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 70% vote share, against 11% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Filomena Rotiroti

Sits with PLQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Incumbent
    Filomena Rotiroti

    Filomena Rotiroti

    source ↗
  • CAQ Challenger
    Ernest Denon

    Ernest Denon

    Holder of a Master's degree in audit and management control obtained at Pigier, in Benin in 2010, Ernest Denon immigrated to Canada in December 2015, first settling in Laval, then in Montreal. All his university degrees, including his master's, have been recognized within the Quebec curriculum.

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Adnane Najahi

    Adnane Najahi

    Mr. Najahi has been an active member of the Parti Québécois in the riding for several years.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
58.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 70.3%
  • PCQ 11.4%
  • QS 6.8%
  • PQ 5.2%
  • Other 3.8%
  • CAQ 2.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PCQ QS PQ
HereJeanne-Mance–Viger 70.3%11.4%6.8%5.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +43.2 13.2% −1.8 8.3% −1.5 30.1% −24.9

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
37.3 pts
Turnout
55.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.6 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Filomena Rotiroti Elected PLQ 14,471 53.9 —
Julie De Martino CAQ 4,455 16.6 —
Chakib Saad PCQ 3,113 11.6 —
Marie-Josée Forget QS 2,858 10.7 —
Laurence Massey PQ 1,122 4.2 —
Giovanni Manfredi Other 496 1.9 —
Alessandra Szilagyi Other 319 1.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026