Riding profile
Gouin
The question
Gouin: a safe seat for Québec solidaire?
Editorial read
Gouin, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 46-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 41% vote share, against 33% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
Sits with QS
Current forecast
QS
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.4
- P(close race)
- 2%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QS | PQ | PLQ | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGouin | 41.5% | 33.0% | 20.6% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 8.3% +33.2 | 30.1% +2.9 | 27.2% −6.5 | 2.0% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois Elected | QS | 17,283 | 59.4 | — |
| Vincent Delorme | PQ | 3,962 | 13.6 | — |
| Catherine Pelletier | CAQ | 3,596 | 12.4 | — |
| Rita Ikhouane | PLQ | 2,444 | 8.4 | — |
| Jayson Paquette Gendron | PCQ | 903 | 3.1 | — |
| Valérie Vedrines | Other | 602 | 2.1 | — |
| Chef Thémis | Other | 199 | 0.7 | — |
| Jean-Benoit Garneau-Bédard | Other | 89 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026