Riding profile
Gouin
The question
Gouin: a safe seat for Québec solidaire?
Current forecast
QS
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.8
- P(close race)
- 3%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QS | PQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGouin | 46.3% | 31.5% | 15.4% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 9.6% +36.7 | 27.9% +3.6 | 23.4% −8.0 | 16.1% −13.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Gouin, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 46-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 46% vote share, against 31% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Challenger
Frank Tremblay
Holder of a bachelor’s degree in applied sciences from Université Laval in Quebec City, Frank Tremblay is also a self-employed financial security advisor. Actively involved in politics since 2014 at various levels of government and with organizations helping those most in need, he is the father of two children. Frank’s social engagement has been broad for nearly twenty years. The need to help others, whatever their circumstances, is imperative to him. People are at the centre of all his actions.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Charles Mc Nicoll
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Edouard Prud’homme
Originally from Gouin and having grown up in the construction industry, Edouard Prud'homme is well acquainted with the realities of workers, families, and entrepreneurs in his community. His background has given him a concrete understanding of everyday challenges and a desire to put his energy at the service of the citizens of his riding. Edouard wishes to represent the citizens of Gouin with proximity, pragmatism, and determination. He advocates concrete solutions to restore purchasing power to families, facilitate access to property ownership, reduce bureaucracy, improve access to health care, and promote physical activity among young people.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Isabelle Daoust
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Hoang Annie Nguyen
At 33, Hoang Annie Nguyen is a trained kinesiologist with an MBA and a diverse public-sector career at different levels of government. These experiences helped her understand institutions, the importance of effective public services and citizens' daily realities. The PLQ candidate in Gouin is particularly interested in public health, housing access, the cost of living and neighbourhood vitality. Her management experience, volunteer commitments and time abroad have brought her into varied settings and helped her build support for concrete solutions. Deeply attached to Montreal and Quebec, she values protecting the environment, wildlife and flora, and believes economic development, innovation and territorial protection can progress together. From a Vietnamese family that settled in Quebec, she is profoundly grateful to a society that allowed her family to find its place and thrive; this history fuels her attachment to Quebec culture, history and the French language at the heart of collective identity.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Alexandre Boulerice
A long-time activist and former federal MP, Alexandre Boulerice will represent Québec solidaire in Gouin.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois Elected | QS | 17,283 | 59.4 | — |
| Vincent Delorme | PQ | 3,962 | 13.6 | — |
| Catherine Pelletier | CAQ | 3,596 | 12.4 | — |
| Rita Ikhouane | QLP | 2,444 | 8.4 | — |
| Jayson Paquette Gendron | PCQ | 903 | 3.1 | — |
| Valérie Vedrines | Other | 602 | 2.1 | — |
| Chef Thémis | Other | 199 | 0.7 | — |
| Jean-Benoit Garneau-Bédard | Other | 89 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026