Riding profile

Westmount–Saint-Louis

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Westmount–Saint-Louis: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Editorial read

Westmount–Saint-Louis, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 60% vote share, against 14% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Jennifer Maccarone

Sits with PLQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Incumbent
    Jennifer Maccarone

    Jennifer Maccarone

    Chief Whip of the Official Opposition

    source ↗
  • CAQ Challenger
    Karim Abi Haila

    Karim Abi Haila

    Karim Abi Haila has been a resident of the Westmount–Saint-Louis riding for over seven years. Holding a bachelor's degree in political science from the University of Montreal, he is active within the Coalition Avenir Québec, where he has held several positions over recent years, including that of political assistant.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Guy Diotte

    Guy Diotte

    Entrepreneur for over 25 years in the distribution sector in Montreal, Guy built his career on hard work, perseverance, and a sense of responsibility. Over the years, he developed concrete knowledge of the challenges that business people, workers, and families face daily in an increasingly demanding economic environment.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
46.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 60.0%
  • Other 13.6%
  • PCQ 9.5%
  • PQ 6.0%
  • QS 5.8%
  • CAQ 5.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ Other PCQ PQ
HereWestmount–Saint-Louis 60.0%13.6%9.5%6.0%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +32.8 2.0% +11.6 13.2% −3.7 30.1% −24.1

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
37.7 pts
Turnout
45.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+8.8 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jennifer Maccarone Elected PLQ 10,576 50.5
David Touchette QS 2,687 12.8
Maria-Luisa Torres-Piaggio CAQ 2,112 10.1
Katya Rossokhata PCQ 1,930 9.2
Florence Racicot PQ 1,267 6.0
Colin Standish Other 1,029 4.9
Heidi Small Other 735 3.5
Sam Kuhn Other 616 2.9
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026