Riding profile
Westmount–Saint-Louis
The question
Westmount–Saint-Louis: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 40.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | PCQ | Other | PQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWestmount–Saint-Louis | 52.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +29.3 | 16.1% −4.2 | 1.7% +10.0 | 27.9% −18.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Westmount–Saint-Louis, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 53% vote share, against 12% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jennifer Maccarone
Sits with QLP
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- QLP Incumbent
-
CAQ Challenger 
Karim Abi Haila
Karim Abi Haila has been a resident of the Westmount–Saint-Louis riding for over seven years. Holding a bachelor's degree in political science from the University of Montreal, he is active within the Coalition Avenir Québec, where he has held several positions over recent years, including that of political assistant.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Hailey Roop
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Maryam Kamali nezhad
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Guy Diotte
Entrepreneur for over 25 years in the distribution sector in Montreal, Guy built his career on hard work, perseverance, and a sense of responsibility. Over the years, he developed concrete knowledge of the challenges that business people, workers, and families face daily in an increasingly demanding economic environment.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger 
Victoria Piscina
source ↗ -
QS Challenger Olivier Sylvestre
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maccarone Elected | QLP | 10,576 | 50.5 | — |
| David Touchette | QS | 2,687 | 12.8 | — |
| Maria-Luisa Torres-Piaggio | CAQ | 2,112 | 10.1 | — |
| Katya Rossokhata | PCQ | 1,930 | 9.2 | — |
| Florence Racicot | PQ | 1,267 | 6.0 | — |
| Colin Standish | Other | 1,029 | 4.9 | — |
| Heidi Small | Other | 735 | 3.5 | — |
| Sam Kuhn | Other | 616 | 2.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026