Riding profile
Mont-Royal–Outremont
The question
Mont-Royal–Outremont: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Editorial read
Mont-Royal–Outremont, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 55% vote share, against 15% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Michelle Setlakwe
Sits with PLQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PLQ Incumbent 
Michelle Setlakwe
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 40.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMont-Royal–Outremont | 55.4% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +28.2 | 30.1% −15.0 | 8.3% +5.3 | 13.2% −4.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Setlakwe Elected | PLQ | 11,658 | 39.4 | — |
| Isabelle Leblanc | QS | 6,008 | 20.3 | — |
| Sarah Beaumier | CAQ | 4,677 | 15.8 | — |
| Ophélie Bastien | PQ | 3,385 | 11.4 | — |
| Sabrina Ait Akil | PCQ | 2,522 | 8.5 | — |
| Malik Guelmi | Other | 785 | 2.6 | — |
| Anne Goldberg Harrison | Other | 507 | 1.7 | — |
| David A Cherniak | Other | 87 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026