Riding profile
Laurier-Dorion
The question
Laurier-Dorion: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Laurier-Dorion, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 36% vote share, against 34% for the Quebec Liberals, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Andrés Fontecilla
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Challenger 
Emil Parfyonov
Emil Parfyonov is an 18-year-old from Almaty in Kazakhstan. In 2015, he immigrated to Quebec with his parents and his three sisters, where he quickly fell under the spell of the language, culture and society of Quebec.
source ↗
Current forecast
QS
Toss-up
- Probability
- 93%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QS | PLQ | PQ | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLaurier-Dorion | 35.7% | 34.5% | 18.4% | 5.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 8.3% +27.4 | 27.2% +7.3 | 30.1% −11.6 | 2.0% +3.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fontecilla Elected | QS | 13,323 | 48.8 | — |
| Deepak Awasti | PLQ | 5,344 | 19.6 | — |
| Vicki Marcoux | CAQ | 3,203 | 11.7 | — |
| Maxime Larochelle | PQ | 2,800 | 10.3 | — |
| Guy Diotte | PCQ | 1,512 | 5.5 | — |
| Amir Khan | Other | 480 | 1.8 | — |
| Ismaila Marega | Other | 332 | 1.2 | — |
| Amélie Villeneuve | Other | 157 | 0.6 | — |
| Mathieu Marcil | Other | 77 | 0.3 | — |
| Anthony Van Duyse | Other | 75 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026