Riding profile
Laurier-Dorion
The question
Laurier-Dorion: a safe seat for Québec solidaire?
Current forecast
QS
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QS | QLP | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLaurier-Dorion | 36.6% | 24.3% | 23.4% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 9.6% +27.0 | 23.4% +0.9 | 27.9% −4.5 | 16.1% −9.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Laurier-Dorion, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 37% vote share, against 24% for the Quebec Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Andrés Fontecilla
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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QS Incumbent
Andrés Fontecilla
Andrés Fontecilla gives voice to the people of Laurier-Dorion in defending social justice, the right to housing and the rights of immigrants. At the National Assembly, he advances concrete solutions for a more caring society, an ambitious ecological transition and an inclusive Québec where everyone can live with dignity. An essential riding representative on the ground in Villeray and Parc-Extension, always ready to listen and help community organizations, Andrés wants to continue in October a lifelong commitment to social justice.
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CAQ Challenger
Emil Parfyonov
Emil Parfyonov is an 18-year-old from Almaty in Kazakhstan. In 2015, he immigrated to Quebec with his parents and his three sisters, where he quickly fell under the spell of the language, culture and society of Quebec.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Mathieu Marcil
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Stéphane Doucet
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PCQ Challenger
Marc-Antoine Cusson
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PQ Challenger
Kelly Lazo De La Vega
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QLP Challenger
Randy Legault-Rankin
Commissioner for relations with Indigenous peoples for the City of Montreal, Randy Legault-Rankin is entering provincial politics to join the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard's leadership. A member of the Abitibiwinni First Nation, the PLQ candidate in Laurier-Dorion has devoted his career to bringing communities closer together, developing public policy and serving the public. In his role with the City of Montreal, he led reconciliation efforts between the city and Indigenous communities. He helped advance public policies, administrative practices and municipal decision-making so that services, programs and institutions would be more inclusive and better adapted to the realities of historically underrepresented people and communities. Previously, he held strategic communications, public-affairs and government-relations positions at Indigenous Services Canada, Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada, and Saputo, Vidéotron and Wapikoni Mobile. This path, at the intersection of government, business and the community sector, gave him a nuanced understanding of all three worlds. Deeply involved in Montreal's community, Randy Legault-Rankin sits on Centraide of Greater Montreal's Social Development Investment Committee and the board of the Tiohtià:ke/Montreal First Peoples Justice Center. He also chaired Mikana's board and served on the board of Psychoéducation Sans Frontières. × I commit to voting for Randy Legault-Rankin as member for the riding of Laurier-Dorion
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fontecilla Elected | QS | 13,323 | 48.8 | — |
| Deepak Awasti | QLP | 5,344 | 19.6 | — |
| Vicki Marcoux | CAQ | 3,203 | 11.7 | — |
| Maxime Larochelle | PQ | 2,800 | 10.3 | — |
| Guy Diotte | PCQ | 1,512 | 5.5 | — |
| Amir Khan | Other | 480 | 1.8 | — |
| Ismaila Marega | Other | 332 | 1.2 | — |
| Amélie Villeneuve | Other | 157 | 0.6 | — |
| Mathieu Marcil | Other | 77 | 0.3 | — |
| Anthony Van Duyse | Other | 75 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026